Posted on April 16, 2019
This is it. After 28 hard-fought days, Albertans head to the polls to determine who will lead the province for the next four years.
Given that it is decision day, it is probably safe to say that this election has come down to a two-horse race. The incumbent NDP have worked hard to defend their position through a combination of typical NDP policy and relentless attacks on the fitness to lead of their primary opponents, the United Conservative Party. The UCP have campaigned on Alberta’s perceived economic hardships. Jobs, economy, pipelines, were the three words on the front of the podium for every UCP announcement or event. These three issues have consistently ranked as the most important to Albertans and the UCP has done an effective job of keeping them front and centre.
Polling still shows the UCP with a significant lead. However, polling is unreliable at best and more than one recent election comes to mind where the predicted result and the actual result were different. There are still a multitude of possible outcomes and none of the parties will be assuming they have the result in the bag. Every party will have volunteers out in force today, trying to milk every possible vote out of the population. If the advanced poll numbers are anything to go by, Albertans will not need to be coaxed out to vote, they will already be standing in line.
It is important to keep in mind that more than 200,000 votes will not be counted this evening. The ‘vote anywhere’ advance ballots will not be tallied until at least tomorrow, maybe even later. Any riding with a margin of 500 votes or less will likely not release a result until after advance ballots are counted. This means that any election result announced tonight may be missing the full picture pending the final tabulation of these ballots.
The battle for Alberta may almost be over, but another important battle is looming on the horizon. A federal election is earmarked for October 21 and will pit Alberta’s wants and needs against those of the rest of the country. Alberta and the Government of Canada’s priorities have seemingly never been farther apart and regardless of who the Premier is, they must be prepared to defend Alberta’s interests on the national stage.
Albertans, today is your chance to decide the future of the province. A vote can be for change or it could be in defense of current policy but choosing not to vote is a disservice to the province and your neighbours. If you have already registered to vote you will have received a voter information card in the mail. This card will indicate where to vote and will serve as identification at the polling station. If you have not registered to vote, do not worry. Check the Elections Albertawebsite to find your local polling station and bring one of these approved pieces of identification.
Navigator’s top 5 news picks
Alberta election: High turnout expected; close races could depend on delayed advance vote tally, by Sammy Hudes with the Calgary Herald
- Nearly three times as many Albertans voted in advance polls leading up to Tuesday’s provincial election than they did in 2015, an indication that voter turnout could be on the rise this time around. In any riding with a margin of 500 votes or fewer, it may take longer to release results.
Alberta Election Day 28: Notley confirms she will stay on as MLA should NDP lose election, by Trevor Robb with the Edmonton Journal
- On day 28 of the campaign trail, Jason Kenney spent the day in Edmonton, as did Stephen Mandel, and Rachel Notley spoke on pipelines and jobs, also noting that if she were to lose the election, she would opt to stay on as an MLA for the NDP.
Profile: Down in the polls, but Notley says ‘Alberta elections have a way of surprising you’, by Clare Clancy with the Calgary Herald
- With the election looming right around the corner, Clare Clancy does a deep dive into the history of Rachel Notley, and examines her underdog mentality in this year’s race, contrasting it to her 2015 campaign.
Profile: UCP’s Jason Kenney determined to shed his image as Ottawa politician, by Emma Graney with the Calgary Herald
- In this piece, Emma Graney shares a profile on Jason Kenney, the leader of the United Conservative Party, and discusses the road he took to reach his current standing.
Canada’s ‘economic civil war’ centre stage as Albertans take anger against the east to polls, by Bloomberg News through the Edmonton Journal
- This article discusses how western alienation is a serious issue in Alberta’s election tomorrow, and explains how it could shape the future of the energy industry.